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"Untuk mempertahankan daya saing di era kompetisi global, adanya sumber daya manusia (SDM) unggul di perusahaan menjadi faktor kunci yang sangat menentukan. Berbeda halnya dengan kualitas produk atau fasilitas fisik, SDM unggulan memiliki kapasitas dan talenta yang tidak mudah ditemukan dan direplikasi. Mayoritas perusahaan diketahui mengalami masalah dengan terus-menerus kehilangan talenta mereka karena berpindah ke tempat lain (turnover), terutama sektor perusahaan jasa profesional. Keadaan ini memaksa perusahaan untuk terus menemukan dan mempertahankan keberadaan talenta terbaik mereka. Studi ini berusaha untuk menjawab strategi apa yang terbaik bagi perusahaan untuk mengendalikan tingkat turnover yang terjadi di perusahaan tersebut. Penelitian ini menghasilkan model sistem dinamis untuk mensimulasikan alternatif strategi pengendalian turnover yang diterapkan perusahaan dalam rangka mengendalikan turnover SDM. Untuk mengantisipasi ketidaksiapan menghadapi tantangan di masa akan datang, disusun empat skenario berbeda dengan pendekatan scenario planning. Dengan mensimulasikan strategi pada berbagai skenario berbeda, perusahaan dapat mengetahui strategi yang efektif serta terhindar dari kerugian yang lebih besar karena menerapkan strategi secara trial and error pada sistem yang sebenarnya. Keluaran penelitian ini diukur dengan indikator penurunan turnover rate serta return on investment pada setiap strategi yang disimulasikan. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa belum adanya strategi yang dapat memenuhi ekspektasi capaian dalam setiap skenario, di mana setiap skenario diharapkan dapat membantu pengambil keputusan untuk merumuskan dan memutuskan strategi terbaik yang dipilih dalam rangka mengendalikan tingkat turnover di perusahaan. Implikasi hasil penelitian juga didiskusikan lebih lanjut dalam agar dapat dijadikan salah satu rujukan untuk penelitian-penelitian selanjutnya untuk sektor industri lainnya.

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In era of global competition, key talents in organization is one of the determining factors that affect organization excellence. Talents are very different from products or plant facilities, which are hard to replicate especially for their capacity and competence. Many of organizations are facing challenge for retaining their key talents who are doing voluntary turnover. This situation pushes organizations to find effective strategy for finding and retaining their talents. Purpose of this study is trying to discover what are the most effective strategies for managing turnover rate in organization. This research resulted in a simulation model using system dynamics to run a simulation of strategy for reducing turnover rate. In anticipation for uncertainty in the future, this research also deliver four plausible future scenarios using scenario planning approach. Using these different scenarios, organization can simulate their strategies under different circumtances and decide which are the best strategies for organization. System dynamics model in this research using two output indicator to evaluate strategy simulation, annual turnover rate and return on investment. Findings on this research hopefully can help decision maker to formulate and decide best strategies to implement for reducing voluntary turnover rate on their organization."

"[Ekosistem perairan tawar, seperti sungai sebagai penyangga dari aktivitas antropogenik. Manusia sebagai elemen utama memiliki kewajiban untuk menjaga kualitas sungai, baik sebagai masyarakat ataupun pemerintah. Limbah domestik dari aktivitas manusia, seperti limbah deterjen dan fecal coliform telah melebihi daya tampung dan daya dukung perairan. Sehingga berdampak pada degradasi lingkungan. Kebijakan hukum lingkungan hidup dapat menjadi batasan untuk aktivitas manusia yang menggunakan bantaran sungai, tetapi dalam penerapannya masih terdapat kesenjangan antara masyarakat, pemerintah, dan produk hukum. Atas dasar deskripsi tersebut, tujuan dari penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis status mutu air yang ditetapkan dalam Keputusan Menteri Lingkungan Hidup No. 115 tahun 2003 dan meramalkan kebijakan lingkungan hidup dengan rencana skenario kebijakan yang akan datang. Studi kasus dilakukan di bantaran Sungai Cipinang dengan metode bola salju. Nilai mutu air Sungai Cipinang adalah -134 dengan status tercemar berat. Rencana skenario kebijakan lingkungan hidup menghasilkan empat macam narasi. Narasi satu adalah kondisi ideal, narasi dua adalah keterkaitan antara nilai masyarakat terhadap lingkungan, narasi tiga adalah kerusakan sumber daya alam bersama, dan narasi empat adalah tidak terlaksananya peraturan., River is one of the freshwater aquatic ecosystem. The function of river as a buffer for human activity. Humans as a major element have an obligation to maintain the water quality of river, either as a society or government. Domestic waste from human activities, such as detergent and fecal coliform have been exceeded of carrying capacity. It can impact to environmental degradation and river become damage. Policy of environmental’s law, may be limit to human activities, but in practice, there is still gap between society, government, and legal products. Based on the description, the purposes of this study are, to analyze the status of water quality based on the decree of the Minister Environment No. 115 in 2003, community participation, and predict the environmental policy with scenario. Case studies conducted in Cipinang’s river with the snowball method. The value of water quality is -134, and the status are heavily polluted. Scenario planning for environmental’s policy have four scenarios. First scenario is an ideal condition, second is relationship between the communities values and environmental, third is tragedy of the commons, and fourth is not implemented of regulations.]"

"Persoalan pendidikan menengah dalam hal akses dan kualitas pendidikan di Provinsi DKI Jakarta masih menjadi perhatian di Provinsi DKI Jakarta. Akses dan kualitas tersebut belum sepenuhnya merata dan dapat dinikmati oleh masyarakat luas karena masih banyak masyarakat utamanya peserta didik di DKI Jakarta yang belum dapat dan kesulitan untuk melanjutkan pendidikan hingga ke tingkat pendidikan menengah SMA atau SMK di DKI Jakarta. Adapun kondisi pada pendidikan menengah seperti SMA dan SMK di Provinsi DKI Jakarta masih memiliki kekurangan dalam hal pemerataan kualitas sehingga harus diperhatikan karena pendidikan tersebut merupakan bagian dari pembangunan manusia. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk memberikan gambaran mengenai kondisi pendidikan menengah SMA dan SMK di Provinsi DKI Jakarta serta perkembangan dihadapi oleh pendidikan menengah tersebut, pendidikan tentunya akan menghadapi perubahan yang sangat pesat serta masa depan yang tidak pasti serta sulit untuk dibayangkan. Penggunaan cara berpikir skenario yang dituangkan ke dalam model skenario terkait dapat menjawab hal tersebut. Penelitian ini menghasilkan empat model skenario dalam kebijakan pendidikan menengah yang bermula dari skenario optimistis hingga skenario pesimistis serta penelitian ini juga memaparkan langkah dan strategi terkait yang dilakukan oleh Pemerintah Provinsi DKI Jakarta dalam kebijakan dan pengelolaan pada pendidikan khususnya pada pendidikan menengah tersebut.

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The problem of secondary education in terms of access and quality of education in DKI Jakarta Province is still a concern in Jakarta Province. Access and quality are not yet entirely evenly distributed and can be enjoyed by the wider community because there are still many people, especially students in DKI Jakarta who have not been able to and have difficulty continuing their education up to the secondary education level of Senior High School (SMA) or Vocational School (SMK) in Jakarta. The conditions in secondary education such as SMA and SMK in Jakarta Province still have shortcomings in terms of quality distribution so it must be considered because education is part of human development. This study aims to provide an overview of the condition of high school and vocational secondary education in Jakarta Province and the developments faced by secondary education, education will certainly face very rapid changes and an uncertain future and it is difficult to imagine. The use of scenario thinking that is poured into the related scenario model can answer this. This research produces four scenario models in secondary education policy starting from an optimistic scenario to a pesimistic scenario and this study also describes the steps and related strategies taken by the Jakarta Government in policy and management of education, especially in secondary education."

"The research aimed to construct the scenario of sub-national government administration in Indonesia and its available alternatives. The approach used was qualitative approach with the method of focus group discussion (FGD) and in-depth interview with economic and social politicians and bureaucrats. In addition secondary data were used to support the result. Two scenarios of the environment of Indonesian sub-national administration for 2025 are gained from two FGDs: the Utopian Scenario and Tumble into the Gutter Scenario. According to the first FGD, the utopian scenario is less likely to happen within the next 20 years, while the tumble-into-the-gutter scenario is considered more likely, especially if the recent condition is long-drawn-out, the homework is never done, and there is lack of awareness from national and local political elites on the recent crisis."

"The research aimed to construct the scenario of sub-national government administration in Indonesia and its available alternatives. The approach used was qualitative approach with the method of focus group discussion (FGD) and in-depth interview with economic and social politicians and bureaucrats. In addition secondary data were used to support the result. Two scenarios of the environment of Indonesian sub-national administration for 2025 are gained from two FGDs: the Utopian Scenario and Tumble into the Gutter Scenario. According to the first FGD, the utopian scenario is less likely to happen within the next 20 years, while the tumble-into-the-gutter scenario is considered more likely, especially if the recent condition is long-drawn-out, the homework is never done, and there is lack of awareness from national and local political elites on the recent crisis."

"ABSTRAKTo be a world-class industry is every nation's dream. However; to realize this aspiration an industry must transform itself to be more powerful that contributes significantly to the economic growth and nation's prosperity. As a strategic industry in Indonesia steel industry it is believed that to achieve world-class standards it should be ready to compete in the regional and global markets. Then, followed by scenario planning development how this industry can adaptively develop these core competences along the way to the journey to the world-class level. At the end, early warning signals should be anticipated by the industry authorities to effectively implement the developed scenarios."

"Pertumbuhan ekonomi China yang yang mengalami perkembangan pesat dengan GDP ke-2 terbesar di dunia setelah Amerika Serikat, mendorong China untuk ikut serta dalam melakukan pembiayaan berbagai proyek infrastuktur di negara-negara berkembang. Hal tersebut ditandai dengan didirikannya lembaga-lembaga keuangan oleh China sebagai solusi keterbatasan pendanaan pembangunan infrastuktur yang dialami negara berkembang. Ekspansi industri kereta cepat China pada tingkat global erat kaitannya dengan kebrhasilan transfer teknologi yang dilakukan. Hingga saat ini, kereta cepat merupakan salah satu inti utama China untuk mendukung inisasi jalur sutera modern. Hal itu dilakukan dengan membangun keterhubungan/konektivitas China diseluruh kawasan. Indonesia dibawah kepemimpinan presiden Joko Widodo memiliki fokus pada pembangunan infrastruktur untuk meningkatkan konektivitas dan pertumbuhan ekonomi. Meskipun tidak tercantum dalam RPJMN 2014-2019 namun proyek kereta api cepat Indonesia-China menjadi salah satu proyek strategis nasional. Dalam konteks politik internasional, pembangunan kereta cepat di Indonesia oleh China merupakan proyek percontohan bagi komunitas ASEAN untuk menunjukan keberhasilan teknologi kereta cepat China. Proyek ini dilakukan dengan skema B to B tanpa menggunakan APBN. Mengingat hampir di seluruh dunia pembangunan kereta cepat tidak bersifat profitable, penelitian ini bertujuan untuk melihat sejauh mana efektifitas pembangunan proyek kereta api cepat Indonesia-China terhadap aspek sosial-ekonomi Indonesia dalam konteks ketahanan nasional. Melalui pendekatan scenario planning, penelitian ini mencoba menelaah Apakah Diplomasi Infrastruktur kereta api cepat oleh China mendistribusikan pembangunan yang positif bagi Indonesia.

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China's economic growth which is experiencing rapid development with the second largest GDP in the world after the United States, prompted China to participate in financing various infrastructure projects in developing countries. This was marked by the establishment of financial institutions by China as a solution to the limited funding of infrastructure development experienced by developing countries. The expansion of the Chinese high-speed railroad industry at a global level is closely related to the success of technology transfer. Until now, the fast train has been one of China's main core to support the initiation of modern silk lines. This was done by building China connectivity throughout the region. Indonesia under the leadership of President Joko Widodo has a focus on infrastructure development to improve connectivity and economic growth. Although it is not listed in the 2014-2019 RPJMN, the Indonesia-China fast train project is one of the national strategic projects. In the context of international politics, the construction of fast trains in Indonesia by China is a pilot project for the ASEAN community to demonstrate the success of China's fast train technology. This project is carried out with the B to B scheme without using the APBN. Considering that almost all of the world of fast train development is not profitable, this research aims to see the effectiveness of the Indonesia-China fast train development project on the socio-economic aspects of Indonesia in the context of national resilience. Through a scenario planning approach, this research tries to examine whether diplomacy of the fast railroad infrastructure by China distributes positive development for Indonesia."

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Produksi sampah yang meningkat seiring dengan pertumbuhan ekonomi dan jumlah penduduk tidak diimbangi dengan peningkatan infrastruktur pengelolaan sampah yang memadai, meskipun anggaran kebersihan daerah meningkat tiap tahunnya. Kondisi ini juga diperparah oleh ketergantungan pemerintah daerah terhadap TPST Bantargebang yang kapasitasnya diproyeksikan penuh tahun 2021. Hal ini memaksa Pemerintah Provinsi Jakarta untuk menerapkan kebijakan pengolahan sampah mandiri berbasiskan teknologi yang berkelanjutan untuk meminimalisir dampak negatif sampah terhadap lingkungan perkotaan. Penelitian ini berusaha untuk menganalisis dampak kebijakan pembangunan Fasilitas Pengolahan Sampah Antara (FPSA) berbasis teknologi konversi Waste to Energy yang dicanangkan Pemerintah Provinsi DKI Jakarta, terhadap aspek-aspek keberlanjutan lingkungan perkotaan. Hasil simulasi menunjukkan bahwa metode ini dapat mengurangi nilai emisi sampah di DKI Jakarta secara signifikan, serta membantu tercapainya target pengurangan emisi Pemerintah DKI Jakarta.

 

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The increased waste production that is in line with Jakarta economic and population growth is not followed with an increase in the waste management infrastructure, although the regional waste management budget increases every year. This poor condition is also worsen by local government depedency on TPST Bantargebang which capacity is projected to be full in 2021. This calls on the Provincial Government of Jakarta to implement independent waste management policies to help minimize waste negative impacts on Jakarta urban environment. This study aim is to analyze the impacts of Intermediate Treatment Facility (ITF) based on the Waste to Energy conversion technology polivy initiated by the Provincial Government of DKI Jakarta, towards sustainability aspects related to waste production. The simulation results show that this method can help to significantly reduce the number of waste emissions in DKI Jakarta, and help achieve emission targets.

 

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"AbstrakTo be a world-class company is every company's dream. However, to realize this aspiration a company must transform itself to become power house that contributes significantly to the economic growth and nation's prosperity. As a powerhouse in Indonesian cement industry, PT Semen Indonesia Tbk believes that to become a world-class engineering company it should be ready to compete in the regional and global markets. Therefore, building core competence as learning organizations and continuously renew its knowledge can be its source of sustainable competitive advantage. In addition, Center of Knowledge Management should also be established to support the development of these core competences. Then, followed by scenario planning development how this corporate center can adaptively develop these core competences along the way to the journey to the world class level. At the end, early warning signals should be anticipated by the center to effectively implement the developed scenarios."